Covid-19 – Worse than a war

Lord Dolar Popat, former Business Minister and Prime Minister’s Trade Envoy to Rwanda and Uganda Tuesday 24th March 2020 17:43 EDT
 
 

Covid-19 is set to drastically impact the vast majority of British Indian owned businesses in the UK. To combat this, our new Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak announced a set of comprehensive measures last week to support British businesses to deal with the crippling nature of this pandemic. The measures were widely welcomed by the UK’s business community, particularly British Indian businesses, making Rishi the blue-eyed boy of the nation. 

From the Coronavirus Retention Scheme which is set to underwrite 80 per cent of wages of retained workers up to a total of £2,500 a month, to the Business Rate holiday for thousands of businesses up and down the country, this set of schemes was by far the most draconian set of state intervention measures by any Government in post-war Britain. 

However, this is not a war. As days unfold, we have all begun to realise that this crisis is far worse than a war; worse for our economy, worse for our businesses and worse for our investments. Whilst one can understand why the similarity with war is constantly made and why we need war like measures; this comparison is misleading. 

Unlike a war, we have hope that this crisis will end. However, for the foreseeable future the economic prospects are bleak. Bleaker than the 2008 financial crisis. 

Our economy is under cardiac arrest. Unlike the 2008 financial crisis, which mainly hit our financial services sector, this crisis is hitting the very core of our economy; hard-working businesspeople who are the lifeblood of our country. In just a week, we have seen such businesses implode around us, not due to poor financial planning, but because just like us, no business is immune from this pandemic. 

This is therefore not a war. For even in the war, the core of our economy did not shut down in this way. There might have been blackouts during the war, but no lockdowns. Even Harrods, an institution which prided itself on staying open during the war has closed for the first time in its history!

Rishi’s extraordinary intervention is therefore a lifeline for our economy. Don’t forget, it’s always difficult for a Government to intervene in the market in this way – but for a Conservative Government who believes in free market economics and minimal intervention at its core - these measures were simply record breaking. Whilst we accept that these measures won’t prevent the worst recession in history, at least it will mean that we still have an economy at the end of this pandemic. 

However, the Chancellor has faced calls to further assist Britain’s five million self-employed people, who feel the measures do not protect them enough. The Government has already announced several measures to help the self-employed, including a deferral of self-assessment payments from the end of July to January. Self-employed people will also be able to apply for interest-free loans for a year guaranteed by the Government. In addition to this, Rishi has removed the minimum income floor for universal credit, making it easier for self-employed people to claim. 

Furthermore, self-employed people will also be eligible for support through Her Majesty’s Revenue and Customs’ (HMRC) Time to Pay service. Arrangements will be agreed on a case-by-case basis and tailored to individual circumstances and liabilities. Applications can be made by calling the dedicated Time to Pay service on 0800 0159 559.

The Chancellor has already assured the self-employed sector – worth an estimated £305 billion – that he will continue to review the situation to see what further measures can be put in place to support them. This includes addressing concerns that the current package is pushing people into benefits and building up debt. An ideal solution would be to extend the job retention scheme to the self-employed, but this has its pitfalls and will be duly reviewed. 

If we are to confront this economic pandemic, we must go much further than comparing it to a war. This is what our new Chancellor is trying to do. During these uncertain times, I like many other British Indians, have been very impressed by Rishi and have found his approach to Covid-19 to be very reassuring. He is certainly giving the impression that he has a steady hand on the tiller. 

The Chancellor’s comprehensive package of measures to support businesses include:

  • a Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme - offering grants to employers who promise to retain their staff, covering most of the cost of paying people’s wages. Any PAYE employer in the country small or large, charitable or non-profit, will be eligible for the scheme. The government expects the first job-retention grants to be payed before the end of April and the scheme is initially expected to operate for three months.
  • deferring VAT and Income Tax payments
  • a Statutory Sick Pay relief package for small and medium sized businesses (SMEs) 
  • a 12-month business rates holiday for all retail, hospitality, leisure and nursery businesses in England
  • small business grant funding of £10,000 for all business in receipt of small business rate relief or rural rate relief
  • grant funding of £25,000 for retail, hospitality and leisure businesses with property with a rateable value between £15,000 and £51,000
  • the Coronavirus Business Interruption Loan Scheme offering loans of up to £5 million for SMEs through the British Business Bank
  • a new lending facility from the Bank of England to help support liquidity among larger firms, helping them bridge coronavirus disruption to their cash flows through loans
  • the HMRC Time To Pay Scheme

Further information on how to apply for the Government’s various COVID-19 support for business schemes can be found through the following website:

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/guidance-to-employers-and-businesses-about-covid-19/covid-19-support-for-businesses


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