A year after winning the general election with a massive super majority, it seems Keir Starmer and the Labour Party are in meltdown. Every single poll over the past six months shows Labour losing the next election clocking the biggest defeat of any party ever. ‘U-turn’ Starmer, ‘tax everything’ Reeves, ‘international bungler’ Lammy, ‘I don’t know’Rayner, and ‘opendoors’ Cooper collective failures add to the everyday woes of this nation. With taxes going up, pensions being hit, pensioners losing sA year after winning the general election with a massive super majority, it seems Keir Starmer and the Labour Party are in meltdown. Every single poll over the past six months shows Labour losing the next election clocking the biggest defeat of any party ever.ervices, bins not being collected, Dr’s on strike, national debt going up, teachers on their knees to wokery, cops exercising two tier policing, courts spineless to lock criminals away, prices going up, unemployment going up, wealth leaving our shores in unprecedented amounts, net zero destroying our industries, energy costs significantly higher than most EU nations, water rates going up, cost of living going up, congestion charges going up, strikes up, illegal immigrants invading UK, asylum seekers up, the list is endless. Writing this down is depressing enough, is it any wonder that Labour is currently polling so badly nationally.
Talking of polling, Reform UK have now been leading for the past six months, and we nowhave the Corbyn/Sultana Party on the far-left that is already at around 12%. It seems the election war cabinet must have met in Number 10, and came to a conclusion that giving votes to 16/17 year olds might be their last chance to limit the damage. This of course will be a unique way to gerrymander the vote. I assume Labour are confident that the young are mostly socialist, stupid and easily mislead and would vote for them.
Let’s all be very honest, is there anyone with an ounce of common sense who thinks that the majority of 16/17 years have got the political intelligence and understanding to determine their vote correctly? In the depth of your hearts, we know that even 18-year-olds are in a mess when it comes to understandingthe basics of society, of services, of law and order, of cost of living – let alone vote for politicians whose fulltime job is often to lie, to mislead and to over promise and under deliver. I am sure there are some young people who are tuned into politics and have a sound grasp of what could be at stake, but I believe this to be a rather small minority.
Anyway, it seems Labour see this is their last hope of keeping a resemblance of a party post the next election. Looking at the 2021 census, I have estimated that come the next election we will see an increase of around 3% more votes. These will be spread across the country, but we can also conclude that many will be concentrated in the top 10 urban centres. Even if every new incoming 16/17-year-oldvote for Labour, it will not make any sizeable impact in terms of new seats secured, or keeping hold of the vulnerable ones. There is also those who feel that three more years of Labour, and the way they are managing the nation, might well pushmany of these new age voters away from Labour.
There is another school of thought that suggests that the new voters might be aligned to protest politics that is championed by Corbyn and Sultana. I am in this camp as well. Thisincrease in vote share to the Corbyn/Sultana enterprise might be enough to secure seats in the heartland of Labour.
Three years plus is however a very long time in politics. There is ample time for Labour to eject Starmer and put in a more people friendly leader as the Prime Minister. There is enough time for some of the indicators to go from negative to positive (probability quite low I know). There is enough time for both Reform UK, and the Corbyn/Sultana enterprises to crumble leaving us with the time-tested binary choice between Labour and the Tories. And there is even enough time for the Tories to get their act together and start getting back their core vote.
I am of the view that when the dust settles, at the next general election we’ll have the votes shared by four parties (Tories, Labour, Reform and Corbyn/Sultana) with the likes of the LibDem and Greens getting their usual minor share. The government will probably end up being a coalition. The only question remaining will be to see whether we end up with a right wing inspired government, or whether it’s a far-left inspired government. Either way, this nation is now in a precarious position.
For the prime minister, he will be forced into a cabinet shuffle shortly. Most of his front bench has been hit hard by negative publicity based on the electorate seeing them as failures, and very often seeing them as liars. If the government front bench cannot command the confidence of the people, the erosion of this government will continue, and we will see Reform UK and the Corbyn/Sultana groups gang up and take advantage of the shambles.